Updated N3:
I am a doctor. If I flip anything else, I was suited.
N1 Louis N2 Tonex N3 Ika
I’d advise reading my past last wills before reading the up to date section (both below).
My miscalculation was that there had to be a mafioso in play at the beginning. Due to the lack of neutral kills I figured there had to be some type of non-town KPN, but it appears I *may* have been wrong.
“Saving” Louis caused me to think he was not mafia, thus my gambit to move the lynch to Brendan (as I thought he was thus lying). I figured Tonex was not mafia too by the same logic, but there was no point in stating anything at that point. I realized later that the yakuza allowing for a potential Mafioso produced the utility of a doctor. I figured if I said anything at this point I would be killed that night, so I might as well WIFOM and try to protect whoever I think may be targeted.
Anyways, Frog was for sure lying about being a doctor (or there are 2 doctors and this is a troll as fuck setup). He may have received a fabricated suit (or there is a second tailor). My money is on:
Tailor, Fabricator, Yakuza (This clears Brendan if he did in fact receive a vigilante role card).
I think it’s reasonable to believe Louswill was a neutral since he kinda gamethrew if he was town (but I’ll reserve judgement for endgame).
Right now I think there’s:
6 Town, 3 mafia, 1 neutral
So plenty to make a lynch majority. Force everyone that hasn’t claimed to claim.
Anyone who receives a “gun,” I would not trust it if I were you.
If there’s only one cop I would wager it’s Ika. I am kinda doubting there’s two since we have ?1+ Caroler? And a ?Oracle?. There’s no way there’s that many investigative roles.
Tl;dr: Frog was almost definitely mafia (slight chance neutral).
Reads below ordered roughly most confident to least
Scumread Banshis
Townread NoctiZ
Brendan is scummy but town pretty much has to have a KPN so if he survives the night he is likely vig
Scumread AppleyNO (then he claimed at the end of the day and idk)
Scumread Blazer (claimed he would return and did not, also in general I feel he was a good yakuza target)
Slight leaning townread Ika + Kusco (but I’m generally wary of town leaders so idk)
RLVG is a bit scummy but idk
Vigilante really needs to start shooting, as mafia will be using their KPN now
@Mafia there’s almost definitely an extreme survivor, so you may want to work with the sheriff to find them before it’s too late ;)
If you read this far: Damn I’m impressed. I’m not sure if writing all my thoughts in a lw like this is useful, but I figured I’d try for this FM and see how it goes. Good luck all!